Bitcoin Halving’s Impact on Price Expected to Wane Over Next 18 Months, Kaiko Suggests

Bitcoin Halving’s Impact on Price Expected to Wane Over Next 18 Months, Kaiko Suggests

Analysts at Kaiko anticipate that Bitcoin’s fourth halving, a highly anticipated event, will have a diminished influence on the cryptocurrency’s price trajectory in the next 12 to 18 months. Despite earlier speculations, the reduction in miners’ rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC may not serve as the primary driver for Bitcoin’s growth, as suggested by a recent research report from the Paris-based blockchain firm.

“While Bitcoin has historically seen significant returns following its previous halvings, the latest event occurs amidst a maturing asset class and uncertain macroeconomic conditions,” noted analysts at Kaiko.

The analysts posit that Bitcoin’s future price movements hinge on attracting new investors, particularly through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. and soon in Hong Kong, indicating the cryptocurrency’s increasing acceptance in mainstream finance.

Given the novel context of a halving occurring in a high-interest rate environment, Kaiko highlights the absence of precedent for Bitcoin’s long-term trading patterns. According to the firm, factors such as robust liquidity and escalating demand will be pivotal in enhancing Bitcoin’s value proposition in the coming months.

As detailed by, the traditional post-halving price surge pattern may see deviations this time, attributed to various factors including the condensed nature of the price cycle surrounding this halving event. Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin has already experienced significant price appreciation, reaching new record highs, including a peak at $73,750 in mid-March.

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